NHL playoff standings: Predicting the Stars’ postseason path

This house is often used to arrange matchups on the night’s NHL schedule that may have an effect on the playoff races, and there is been nice fodder this season as a result of variety of groups nonetheless combating for these spots (notably within the East). However with a very gentle slate Wednesday evening, let’s have a look a bit additional down the highway for one of many groups in motion.

The Dallas Stars are among the many handful of golf equipment for which Stathletes initiatives a 99.9% likelihood of creating the playoffs. Put one other method, it could take an almost-unprecedented collapse for them to overlook the postseason. Some selected them as their preseason Stanley Cup favourite this season, and the matchups will matter of their quest to reside as much as these expectations.

Throughout the mighty Central Division, the Stars are projected for 108.7 standings factors, in third behind the Winnipeg Jets (110.4) and Colorado Avalanche (109.8). So yeah, it is shut. But when these projections maintain, it will likely be a first-round matchup in opposition to the Avs for Dallas. The dangerous information for Dallas is that Colorado has received all three video games the golf equipment have performed this season by a cumulative rating of 16-8; the nice (or no less than, optimistic) information is that every one three have been within the pre-Chris Tanev period. The ultimate matchup of their regular-season sequence is April 7 (10 p.m. ET, ESPN).

What if Colorado will get the Central’s No. 1 seed, and Winnipeg is Dallas’ first-round opponent? The situation is nearly precisely reversed, because the Stars have received all three matchups in opposition to the Jets by a cumulative rating of 9-3. The ultimate sport for these two is April 11 (8 p.m. ET, NHL Energy Play on ESPN+).

If the Stars go on a heater and win the division, they’re going to tackle one of many West wild playing cards, almost certainly the Nashville Predators (projected for 98.8 factors), Vegas Golden Knights (97.9) or Los Angeles Kings (97.7). Amongst these three, the Stars’ most fascinating opponent based mostly on previous outcomes is the Kings, as Dallas has received all three matchups this season (by a cumulative rating of 13-3). The Stars have cut up the 4 video games in opposition to the Predators, and so they’ve misplaced all three to the Golden Knights — though there are two caveats for the Vegas outcomes:

• One of many losses was in additional time, one other in a shootout.

• The latest of the three video games was Dec. 9, and far has modified since then.

So the best situation for the primary two rounds is the Stars successful the Central and taking up the Kings, adopted by a second-round sequence in opposition to the Jets (or drawing Winnipeg within the first and L.A. within the second). The cost up the standings continues Wednesday with a sport in opposition to the Arizona Coyotes (8 p.m. ET, NHL Energy Play on ESPN+).

As we traverse the ultimate stretch of the common season, it is time to verify in on all of the playoff races — together with the groups jockeying for place within the 2024 NHL draft lottery.

Word: Playoff chances are high through Stathletes.

Leap forward:
Present playoff matchups
Right now’s schedule
Final evening’s scores
Expanded standings
Race for No. 1 decide

Present playoff matchups

Japanese Convention

A1 Boston Bruins vs. WC2 Detroit Purple Wings
A2 Florida Panthers vs. A3 Toronto Maple Leafs
M1 New York Rangers vs. WC1 Tampa Bay Lightning
M2 Carolina Hurricanes vs. M3 Philadelphia Flyers

Western Convention

C1 Winnipeg Jets vs. WC1 Nashville Predators
C2 Colorado Avalanche vs. C3 Dallas Stars
P1 Vancouver Canucks vs. WC2 Vegas Golden Knights
P2 Edmonton Oilers vs. P3 Los Angeles Kings

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Wednesday’s video games

Word: All occasions ET. All video games not on TNT or NHL Community can be found through NHL Energy Play, which is included in an ESPN+ subscription (native blackout restrictions apply).

Toronto Maple Leafs at Washington Capitals, 7:30 p.m. (TNT)
Arizona Coyotes at Dallas Stars, 8 p.m.
Minnesota Wild at Los Angeles Kings, 10 p.m. (TNT)

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Tuesday’s scoreboard

Boston Bruins 6, Ottawa Senators 2
Detroit Purple Wings 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 2 (OT)
New Jersey Devils 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 2
Winnipeg Jets 4, New York Rangers 2
Philadelphia Flyers 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Carolina Hurricanes 4, New York Islanders 1
Colorado Avalanche 4, St. Louis Blues 3
Nashville Predators 8, San Jose Sharks 2
Edmonton Oilers 3, Montreal Canadiens 2 (OT)
Vancouver Canucks 3, Buffalo Sabres 2
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Vegas Golden Knights 3
Minnesota Wild 4, Anaheim Geese 0
Los Angeles Kings 6, Chicago Blackhawks 0

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Expanded standings

Atlantic Division

Factors: 97
Regulation wins: 32
Playoff place: A1
Video games left: 12
Factors tempo: 114
Subsequent sport: vs. NYR (Thursday)
Playoff probabilities: 99.9%
Tragic quantity: N/A

Factors: 94
Regulation wins: 37
Playoff place: A2
Video games left: 14
Factors tempo: 114
Subsequent sport: vs. NSH (Thursday)
Playoff probabilities: 99.9%
Tragic quantity: N/A

Factors: 85
Regulation wins: 26
Playoff place: A3
Video games left: 15
Factors tempo: 104
Subsequent sport: @ WSH (Wednesday)
Playoff probabilities: 99.9%
Tragic quantity: N/A

Factors: 80
Regulation wins: 30
Playoff place: WC1
Video games left: 14
Factors tempo: 97
Subsequent sport: @ SJ (Thursday)
Playoff probabilities: 98.5%
Tragic quantity: N/A

Factors: 76
Regulation wins: 24
Playoff place: WC2
Video games left: 13
Factors tempo: 90
Subsequent sport: vs. NYI (Thursday)
Playoff probabilities: 27.7%
Tragic quantity: N/A

Factors: 71
Regulation wins: 27
Playoff place: N/A
Video games left: 12
Factors tempo: 83
Subsequent sport: @ EDM (Thursday)
Playoff probabilities: 5.1%
Tragic quantity: 19

Factors: 62
Regulation wins: 15
Playoff place: N/A
Video games left: 14
Factors tempo: 75
Subsequent sport: @ VAN (Thursday)
Playoff probabilities: ~0%
Tragic quantity: 14

Factors: 60
Regulation wins: 19
Playoff place: N/A
Video games left: 15
Factors tempo: 73
Subsequent sport: vs. STL (Thursday)
Playoff probabilities: ~0%
Tragic quantity: 13

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Metropolitan Division

Factors: 94
Regulation wins: 37
Playoff place: M1
Video games left: 13
Factors tempo: 112
Subsequent sport: @ BOS (Thursday)
Playoff probabilities: 99.9%
Tragic quantity: N/A

Factors: 92
Regulation wins: 36
Playoff place: M2
Video games left: 13
Factors tempo: 109
Subsequent sport: vs. PHI (Thursday)
Playoff probabilities: 99.9%
Tragic quantity: N/A

Factors: 78
Regulation wins: 27
Playoff place: M3
Video games left: 13
Factors tempo: 93
Subsequent sport: @ CAR (Thursday)
Playoff probabilities: 70.9%
Tragic quantity: N/A

Factors: 75
Regulation wins: 27
Playoff place: N/A
Video games left: 15
Factors tempo: 92
Subsequent sport: vs. TOR (Wednesday)
Playoff probabilities: 58.6%
Tragic quantity: 29

Factors: 73
Regulation wins: 21
Playoff place: N/A
Video games left: 14
Factors tempo: 88
Subsequent sport: @ DET (Thursday)
Playoff probabilities: 26.4%
Tragic quantity: 25

Factors: 70
Regulation wins: 28
Playoff place: N/A
Video games left: 13
Factors tempo: 83
Subsequent sport: vs. WPG (Thursday)
Playoff probabilities: 10.4%
Tragic quantity: 20

Factors: 69
Regulation wins: 25
Playoff place: N/A
Video games left: 14
Factors tempo: 83
Subsequent sport: @ DAL Friday)
Playoff probabilities: 2.4%
Tragic quantity: 21

Factors: 58
Regulation wins: 18
Playoff place: N/A
Video games left: 13
Factors tempo: 69
Subsequent sport: @ COL (Friday)
Playoff probabilities: ~0%
Tragic quantity: 8

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Central Division

Factors: 93
Regulation wins: 39
Playoff place: C1
Video games left: 14
Factors tempo: 112
Subsequent sport: @ NJ (Thursday)
Playoff probabilities: 99.9%
Tragic quantity: N/A

Factors: 93
Regulation wins: 37
Playoff place: C2
Video games left: 13
Factors tempo: 111
Subsequent sport: s. CBJ (Friday)
Playoff probabilities: 99.9%
Tragic quantity: N/A

Factors: 91
Regulation wins: 30
Playoff place: C3
Video games left: 13
Factors tempo: 108
Subsequent sport: vs. ARI (Wednesday)
Playoff probabilities: 99.9%
Tragic quantity: N/A

Factors: 84
Regulation wins: 33
Playoff place: WC1
Video games left: 13
Factors tempo: 100
Subsequent sport: @ FLA (Thursday)
Playoff probabilities: 98.1%
Tragic quantity: N/A

Factors: 76
Regulation wins: 27
Playoff place: N/A
Video games left: 13
Factors tempo: 90
Subsequent sport: @ LA (Wednesday)
Playoff probabilities: 23.4%
Tragic quantity: 23

Factors: 75
Regulation wins: 27
Playoff place: N/A
Video games left: 13
Factors tempo: 89
Subsequent sport: vs. SEA (Thursday)
Playoff probabilities: 3.7%
Tragic quantity: 22

Factors: 61
Regulation wins: 23
Playoff place: N/A
Video games left: 14
Factors tempo: 74
Subsequent sport: @ DAL (Wednesday)
Playoff probabilities: ~0%
Tragic quantity: 10

Factors: 43
Regulation wins: 14
Playoff place: N/A
Video games left: 13
Factors tempo: 51
Subsequent sport: @ ANA (Thursday)
Playoff probabilities: 0%
Tragic quantity: E

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Pacific Division

Factors: 94
Regulation wins: 37
Playoff place: P1
Video games left: 13
Factors tempo: 112
Subsequent sport: vs. MTL (Thursday)
Playoff probabilities: 99.9%
Tragic quantity: N/A

Factors: 86
Regulation wins: 32
Playoff place: P2
Video games left: 16
Factors tempo: 107
Subsequent sport: vs. BUF (Thursday)
Playoff probabilities: 99.9%
Tragic quantity: N/A

Factors: 81
Regulation wins: 30
Playoff place: P3
Video games left: 14
Factors tempo: 98
Subsequent sport: vs. MIN (Wednesday)
Playoff probabilities: 90.5%
Tragic quantity: N/A

Factors: 79
Regulation wins: 28
Playoff place: WC2
Video games left: 14
Factors tempo: 95
Subsequent sport: vs. SEA (Thursday)
Playoff probabilities: 79.7%
Tragic quantity: N/A

Factors: 71
Regulation wins: 28
Playoff place: N/A
Video games left: 14
Factors tempo: 86
Subsequent sport: @ VAN (Saturday)
Playoff probabilities: 4.0%
Tragic quantity: 20

Factors: 68
Regulation wins: 22
Playoff place: N/A
Video games left: 15
Factors tempo: 83
Subsequent sport: @ VGK (Thursday)
Playoff probabilities: 0.6%
Tragic quantity: 19

Factors: 49
Regulation wins: 17
Playoff place: N/A
Video games left: 13
Factors tempo: 58
Subsequent sport: vs. CHI (Thursday)
Playoff probabilities: 0%
Tragic quantity: E

Factors: 39
Regulation wins: 12
Playoff place: N/A
Video games left: 14
Factors tempo: 47
Subsequent sport: vs. TB (Thursday)
Playoff probabilities: 0%
Tragic quantity: E

p — clinched Presidents’ Trophy
y — clinched division
x — clinched playoff berth
e — eradicated from playoff competition

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Race for the No. 1 decide

The NHL makes use of a draft lottery to find out the order of the primary spherical, so the staff that finishes in final place shouldn’t be assured the No. 1 choice. As of 2021, a staff can transfer up a most of 10 spots if it wins the lottery, so solely 11 groups are eligible for the draw for the No. 1 decide. Full particulars on the method could be discovered right here. Sitting No. 1 on the draft board for this summer season is Macklin Celebrini, a freshman at Boston College.

Factors: 39
Regulation wins: 12

Factors: 43
Regulation wins: 14

Factors: 49
Regulation wins: 17

Factors: 58
Regulation wins: 18

Factors: 60
Regulation wins: 19

Factors: 61
Regulation wins: 23

Factors: 62
Regulation wins: 15

Factors: 68
Regulation wins: 22

Factors: 69
Regulation wins: 25

Factors: 70
Regulation wins: 28

Factors: 71
Regulation wins: 27

Factors: 71
Regulation wins: 28

Factors: 73
Regulation wins: 21

Factors: 75
Regulation wins: 27

Factors: 75
Regulation wins: 27

Factors: 76
Regulation wins: 27

* The Penguins’ first-round decide was traded to the Sharks as a part of the Erik Karlsson commerce. Nevertheless, it’s top-10 protected.