The largest detrimental from the 2024 NCAA males’s basketball bracket is one thing the choice committee couldn’t management. It merely ran out of spots earlier than all of the worthy groups might be included this 12 months.
Some will blame the bid thieves: NC State, Oregon, New Mexico, Duquesne and Florida Atlantic (the final one by dropping). Others will use this 12 months’s self-destructing bubble to argue for a bigger discipline. Rely me in for very modest, very cautious growth, if that ever involves go.
However my largest takeaways typically apply on a team-by-team degree. For these feeling snubbed, let me supply a number of recommendations.
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Oklahoma: Do not go 4-12 in Quadrant 1 — or 2-12 towards Quadrant 1 match groups.
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Seton Corridor: Do not lose within the first spherical of the convention match with a NET within the 60s.
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Indiana State: Attempt to be a bubble staff in a 12 months with out 5 bid stealers. I really feel worst for you.
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Pittsburgh: The following bubble staff to make it with a No. 343 nonconference schedule would be the first.
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St. John’s: Do not put the “Ziggy” on Villanova. The Wildcats’ collapse actually damage you.
It is solely unhappy to a level that these groups missed out. All are able to successful video games on this 12 months’s discipline, possibly even reaching the second weekend. However the identical might be stated for a minimum of NC State, Oregon and New Mexico. A very powerful rule of Bracketology by no means adjustments: One of the best ways for any bubble staff to get in is to not be a bubble staff.
That stated, I used to be pleasantly stunned — not rather a lot, however not a bit of — by a number of of the committee’s choices:
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The Mountain West was appropriately downgraded (when it comes to seeding) for the overwhelming majority of its Quadrant 1 wins coming in convention play. There’s clearly an understanding that particular person NET numbers have been a bit inflated in an in any other case glorious convention.
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The Atlantic 10 acquired superb seeds for each its at-large staff (7-seed Dayton) and its computerized qualifier (11-seed Duquesne). For the league’s seventh-place finisher to get an 11-seed within the Massive Dance tells me the league is nicely on its technique to extra bids sooner or later.
On the opposite facet, I did grimace a bit over the next:
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Florida Atlantic was seeded at No. 8 on popularity, not achievement. The Owls misplaced to Temple, people, and people are the improper Owls this season. FAU had too many losses for a seed this good.
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Boise State ought to have been in FAU’s spot. The committee ought to take a mulligan and make a straight swap on that one. My Mountain West feedback above don’t apply to Boise State, which proved itself nicely above First 4 caliber each dwelling and away.
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I am unable to assist however marvel if BYU was dropped a seed line to accommodate its no-Sunday rule.
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I additionally marvel if the ACC had extra highly effective in-room lobbying than the Massive East. The latter had three respectable bubble groups to the ACC’s one, but solely Virginia broke via.
Seeded too excessive: FAU, Michigan State
Seeded too low: Boise State, South Carolina, Nevada
Lastly, I began feeling very nervous round 5 p.m. ET that my seemingly annual miss was going to be Oklahoma. However even with that, my bracket would not have been 68-for-68. Virginia wouldn’t have been my “having second ideas” alternative to exchange the Sooners.
Fortunately, come Thursday afternoon — or possibly even Tuesday evening — none of this may matter. And neither will I. See you subsequent season!