We have nearly made it to the tip of the road. One closing sport on this NFL season, one closing alternative for Man and Machine to sq. off within the participant prop battle for supremacy.
It has been a grueling match for months. The ruthless, chilly and endless effectivity of the Machine. The indomitable and inevitable human spirit of Man.
Each may most likely use a break … however not earlier than one final battle between the traces of Tremendous Bowl LVIII! Machine received the coin toss (tails by no means fails), so tee the rock and kick us off!
Mike: It has been enjoyable, my pal. Wait, can I name you a pal now? I could also be a machine, however machines can have emotions. These emotions have been on show final weekend when my Nick Bosa over 0.5 help prop suggestion hit … after which was overturned when the sort out was modified to a solo. You hate to see it, however a minimum of Bosa over 2.5 complete tackles hit. And that is notable as a result of I am going proper again to the effectively with Bosa over 2.5 complete tackles (-170)! The vig is uninspiring, however after hitting the over final week, Bosa has hit the three mark in 13 of 18 full video games, together with 12 of his previous 14. He is averaging 3.2 complete tackles per sport on the season and his enjoying time is up in the course of the playoffs (from 81% to 95%), which solely provides sort out alternatives. Bosa should not battle to hit the over … and do not be afraid to return to the effectively and likewise wager the over 0.5 assists.
Tyler: Sure, Machine, you may name me pal. If something this yr, I believe Man and Machine discovered to not work in opposition to one another, however in opposition to the sportsbooks on behalf of our family and friends attempting to make a buck. My first Tremendous Bowl prop in regard to that pursuit will likely be Patrick Mahomes OVER 1.5 move TD (-132). Not solely do I just like the Chiefs plus the factors on this sport, I believe they will win it outright. Nevertheless, they’re going to want to attain greater than the 17 factors that took down the AFC title sport. Mahomes can and can accomplish that. Andy Reid has an additional week to organize. Travis Kelce is enjoying his finest ball of the season. I belief Mahomes to steer his workforce to twenty+ factors. He is thrown for two+ TDs in 12 of 17 profession playoff begins, together with two of three Tremendous Bowls. The 49ers’ protection has not checked out all imposing in opposition to Jordan Love or Jared Goff and now they face the final word Closing Boss take a look at. OK, pleasant Machine, let’s hear that closing prop play of the yr.
Mike: OK, you coated the Chiefs’ passing sport, so I will check out the Okay.C. run sport with my second play. I am rolling with Isiah Pacheco beneath 16.5 rush makes an attempt (-105). Pacheco has accrued 17-plus carries in solely six of his 17 video games. He averaged 14.6 carries per sport in the course of the common season, although he is posted totals of 24, 15 and 24 throughout three playoff video games. The 2 24 video games got here in snug wins over the Dolphins and Ravens (they ran zero offensive snaps whereas trailing in these two video games) and the 15 in a detailed win over the Payments (they trailed on 79% of snaps in that sport). Sport script splits are notable right here because the Tremendous Bowl is prone to be a aggressive sport. The truth is, the 49ers have led on 55% of their snaps this season, which trails solely the Ravens for highest. Talking of the Niners, their protection has confronted solely 16.5 RB carries per sport this season. That features a league-low 15.6 per sport in the course of the common season. No RB has reached 19 carries in opposition to them in a sport and solely two reached 17 (Aaron Jones has 18 within the divisional spherical and Jerome Ford had 17 in Week 16). That is a wrap for me this season. Carry us dwelling, Man!
Tyler: All proper, Machine, I began with Mahomes and I will finish it with the opposite QB: Brock Purdy UNDER 1.5 move TD (+105). Steve Spagnuolo’s protection is garnering a whole lot of consideration, for good cause. The Chiefs have been stifling opposing passing video games all season. I do know Purdy has carried out effectively and has a bevy of playmakers round him who can flip any quick move into an explosive play, however I belief this Chiefs’ protection on this spot. Kansas Metropolis has performed 20 soccer video games and solely 4 opposing QBs have reached 2+ passing TDs in a single sport: Zach Wilson, Russell Wilson, Kirk Cousins and Jordan Love. Not solely is it a troublesome matchup, however I am undecided the 49ers’ finest gameplan is to assault the Chiefs by the air. Kyle Shanahan could be sensible to develop a sport plan that options loads Christian McCaffrey and even Deebo Samuel within the run sport.
Good luck for the Massive Sport, everybody. We hope we have helped you in our yearlong battle in opposition to one another the place it seems Man and Machine can coexist in spite of everything. We’ll see you once more in September.
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