England are by means of to the knockout phases at Euro 2024, however because the winners of Group C they most likely will not know their round-of-16 opponents till the group stage is accomplished on Wednesday.
The highest groups in Teams B, C, E and F will tackle one of many 4 groups who undergo as finest third-placed finishers. And that is all going to rely upon who qualifies.
How do they determine the fixtures?
UEFA created a grid earlier than the event started which set out the place every third-placed staff would go relying on which 4 teams supplied the qualifiers.
It doesn’t matter if a rustic was the very best third-placed staff or the fourth-best, allocation is only based mostly upon the grid.
What choices are nonetheless open?
As we all know that Group C (Slovenia) and Group D (Netherlands) have supplied groups, and that Group B (Croatia) can’t, solely three mixtures are actually doable: ACDE, ACDF and CDEF. This refers back to the letters of the teams who present the qualifiers.
The 2 groups becoming a member of Slovenia and Netherlands will probably be: Hungary and a staff from Group E, or Hungary and a staff from Group F, or groups from Group E and F.
What does this imply for England?
England have two doable round-of-16 opponents: Netherlands or the staff who end third in Group E (that is the group with Belgium in it.)
What must occur for England to play Netherlands?
If Hungary qualify in third from Group A, England will play Netherlands.
If Hungary miss out, which means Teams E and F each present third-placed groups, England will play the staff who end third in Group E.
What are the eventualities in Group E?
England may really discover out who they may play on the finish of the day’s first video games.
If both recreation in Group E is drawn (Slovakia and Romania will each undergo in the event that they draw their match), the third positioned staff could have a greater report than Hungary, and England should wait till Group F finishes.
But when the third-placed staff in Group E end with a worse report than Hungary, England will certainly play Netherlands.
Nonetheless, the scope for the third positioned staff to be knocked out is kind of small. A two-goal win for Belgium over Ukraine is probably the most believable route for the Group E staff to overlook out.
-
If Romania and Belgium win, Ukraine end third and can qualify except they lose to Belgium by 2+ objectives, or 1-0 and decide up at the very least seven disciplinary factors (a yellow is value one level.)
-
If Romania and Ukraine win, Slovakia end third and can qualify except they lose to Romania by 4+ objectives, or 3-0 and decide up at the very least eight disciplinary factors (a yellow is value one level.)
-
If Slovakia and Ukraine win, Belgium end third and can qualify except they lose to Ukraine by 5+ objectives, or 4-0 and decide up at the very least six disciplinary factors (a yellow is value one level.)
-
If Slovakia and Belgium win, Romania end third and can qualify except they lose to Slovakia by 5+ objectives.
What are the eventualities in Group F?
If England are nonetheless ready to search out out who they will play, it is going to be determined in Group F.
If the third-place staff from Group F doesn’t qualify, England will play Netherlands.
If the third-place staff from Group F qualifies, England will play the staff who end third in Group E.
There are solely a handful of eventualities whereby the staff in Group F would qualify.
-
Portugal win or draw with Georgia, and Czechia beat Turkey by one or two objectives
-
Georgia and Turkey win
-
Georgia and Czechia win
-
Georgia win and Turkey draw
Another mixture of outcomes — together with the primary bullet with Czechia profitable by 3+ objectives — means England play Netherlands.
So, what are the doable fixtures for all group winners?
As set out by which teams present the third-placed groups, is as follows.
ACDE
England vs. Netherlands
Spain vs. 3E
Portugal vs. Hungary
Winners of Group E vs. Slovenia
ACDF
England vs. Netherlands
Spain vs. 3F
Portugal vs. Hungary
Winners of Group E vs. Slovenia
CDEF
England vs. 3E
Spain vs. 3F
Portugal vs. Slovenia
Winners of Group E vs. Netherlands