After two thrilling rounds of the 2024 NBA playoffs, we have reached the ultimate 4 groups vying for the title.
The defending champion Denver Nuggets? Gone, bounced by the Minnesota Timberwolves after a wild second-half comeback in Recreation 7.
The Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder, the highest seed within the Western Convention? Eradicated by the Dallas Mavericks, whose commerce deadline makeover created a harmful championship contender round superstars Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving.
After which there’s the East bracket, that includes a matchup few might have predicted heading into the season: the league-leading Boston Celtics towards the underdog Indiana Pacers, who wanted a Recreation 7 win inside Madison Sq. Backyard to achieve their first convention finals since 2014. The Celtics, in the meantime, are right here for the sixth time in eight seasons.
Forward of every sequence’ Recreation 1 — Celtics-Pacers begins Tuesday (8 p.m. ET on ESPN) and Wolves-Mavs ideas Wednesday (8:30 p.m. ET on TNT) — this is a take a look at the elements that can decide which contenders will advance to subsequent month’s NBA Finals.
MORE: NBA playoff schedules and information | Offseason guides
How the Wolves and Mavericks acquired right here
Minnesota swept the Phoenix Suns out of the primary spherical, taking down one of many preseason favorites to win the championship. Then, within the convention semifinals, it ousted the defending champs within the Denver Nuggets in an epic seven-game sequence. Anthony Edwards has been elegant, averaging 28.9 factors on 50.4% capturing (39.8% from 3), 6.2 rebounds and 5.9 assists — all a tick above his numbers within the common season, his finest since being drafted No. 1 in 2020.
Minnesota’s sequence win towards Denver was removed from a one-man present, nevertheless. The Wolves rallied from down by 20 factors in Recreation 7 with six gamers scoring in double figures and staunch defensive performances from Karl-Anthony Cities, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels and Edwards, who has mentioned his objective is to grow to be the perfect participant within the league on either side of the ball.
Wolves overcome 20-point deficit to remove defending champ Nuggets in Recreation 7
After being down 20 factors within the second half, the Timberwolves, led by Anthony Edwards, storm again to stun the Nuggets in Recreation 7 to maneuver on to the Western Convention finals.
In Dallas, the star energy of Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving made a deep playoff run a risk, however the Mavericks’ protection and position gamers keyed the Mavs’ run by way of the primary two rounds. The Mavs, who had the league’s stingiest protection within the last 20 video games of the common season, have held foes to 101 or fewer factors in six of their eight playoff wins. Forwards P.J. Washington and Derrick Jones, the Mavs’ finest on-ball defenders, had clutch capturing performances to make the top-seeded Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder pay for loading up towards Dallas’ star duo.
Doncic has struggled by his requirements whereas coping with a sprained proper knee, however he completed the West semifinals sturdy, averaging a 30-point triple-double on .568/.529/.900 capturing splits previously two video games.
— Tim MacMahon and Dave McMenamin
Are Edwards and the younger Wolves prepared for the second?
Can a crew led by a 22-year-old star in Edwards be prepared to interrupt by way of with an NBA Finals look so quickly? The Wolves’ West finals foe went by way of the same ascension two years in the past when Doncic — simply 23 on the time — led them to the convention finals, the place they misplaced to the more-seasoned Golden State Warriors in 5 video games.
The Mavs took their lumps and reloaded, buying and selling for a former champion in Irving final 12 months and including Washington and Daniel Gafford on the deadline this 12 months. When requested after the Denver sequence if the “Timberpups” wanted to take a number of extra postseason lumps earlier than profitable a title, Minnesota’s leaders argued they’ve already handled sufficient disappointment.
“We misplaced final 12 months,” Cities mentioned in the course of the postgame information convention. Edwards, sitting to Cities’ proper, chimed in: “We misplaced the final two years. Goddamn, what number of occasions we acquired to lose? How a lot you need us to lose?”
If there’s one attribute that defines Edwards, it is his unwavering confidence. So, the Wolves guard rejecting some predetermined timeline a participant should endure to win a hoop comes as no shock. The Wolves confirmed vulnerability towards the Nuggets, shedding Video games 3, 4 and 5 after going up 2-0 and generally shedding their composure in these defeats. Nonetheless, the resolve they confirmed by profitable Recreation 6 by 45 factors and by no means giving up in Recreation 7 might be proof sufficient that this crew’s time is now.
— McMenamin
How will Dallas dimension up towards the jumbo Timberwolves?
Upgrading the middle rotation performed a large position within the Mavs rebounding from final 12 months’s lottery end to make a run to the West finals. Basic supervisor Nico Harrison added Dereck Full of life II within the draft and Gafford on the commerce deadline, giving the Mavs a tag crew of energetic lob threats and rim protectors. They will have an enormous problem in entrance of them this sequence towards a Minnesota crew that begins two 7-footers in four-time Defensive Participant of the 12 months Rudy Gobert and All-Star Karl-Anthony Cities.
Each Dallas bigs have made main contributions. Full of life, particularly, was a drive towards the Thunder, when he had the perfect plus-minus within the sequence (plus-71) by a large margin.
Mavs advance to WCF behind Luka’s 29-point triple-double
The Mavericks take down the Thunder and keep away from Recreation 7 to advance to the Western Convention finals behind Luka Doncic’s stellar triple-double.
“It is simple to say that he ought to begin,” coach Jason Kidd mentioned with out prompting after Recreation 6. “However he is taking part in his position for us, and that is coming off the bench and giving us vitality and ending within the paint.”
It is unsure if stretch large man Maxi Kleber will be capable of return from his proper shoulder harm at any level throughout this sequence. He has begun primary basketball exercise, reminiscent of kind capturing from quick vary and defensive slides, and is scheduled to be reevaluated later this week.
Kleber unlocks the Mavs’ lineup versatility. He offers Kidd the choice of taking part in large with Kleber at energy ahead alongside one of many facilities or small with a five-out offense that might pull Gobert away from the paint, the latter of which Dallas employed efficiently in a 2022 sequence win over Gobert’s Jazz.
— MacMahon
Matchup to look at: An elite battle on the perimeter
It is the league’s highest-scoring tandem towards one among its finest pairs of perimeter defenders. Edwards already confirmed the Timberwolves’ hand, declaring in his post-Recreation 7 interview that his matchup can be Irving, that means McDaniels would be the main defender on Doncic.
The smothering protection of McDaniels and Edwards factored into probably the most memorable moments of the Mavs’ stumble into the lottery final season. Down three within the last seconds of Irving’s Mavs house debut, Irving and Doncic handed the ball forwards and backwards, unable to get an honest look, earlier than Irving coughed up a turnover — a scene that foreshadowed Dallas’ disappointing end.
However Irving and Doncic mixed for 69 factors in that loss and matched that complete in a Jan. 7 win over the Wolves, which was the one event they each performed in 4 conferences towards Minnesota this season.
— MacMahon
Collection wild card: The Wolves different defensive menace
After the ultimate query had been requested and answered in Edwards’ and Cities’ joint Recreation 7 information convention, Edwards remained on the dais for a few minutes to shout out McDaniels, calling him the Wolves’ postseason MVP to date.
The 6-9 ahead was essential in ending off the Nuggets, averaging 22 factors on a 75% capturing clip over the ultimate two video games whereas additionally taking part in the kind of protection that precipitated Nikola Jokic to say that Minnesota has two Defensive Participant of the 12 months-level gamers in McDaniels and Gobert.
For all of the discuss Edwards’ age, McDaniels is simply 23 himself and will probably be tasked with stopping a basketball wizard in Doncic. His efficiency might very nicely swing the sequence. McDaniels displayed a refreshing honesty within the convention semifinals when assessing his protection, admitting he wanted to “cease disrespecting” Aaron Gordon by permitting the Nuggets ahead to take open photographs in Denver’s wins and, within the closeout recreation, lamenting that he “sort of let Jamal [Murray] get away from me” at occasions. Like the remainder of his crew, McDaniels sounds intent on competing nicely into June.
“It ain’t the championship, so we nonetheless acquired to maintain taking part in,” McDaniels mentioned Sunday. “Nevertheless it’s good to beat the defending champs. It reveals how good we could be.”
— McMenamin
Stat that might swing the sequence: Power vs. energy on the rim
Since Feb. 10, when Gafford and Washington made their crew debuts, the Mavericks ranked second within the NBA in discipline objective proportion on layups and dunks, in response to Second Spectrum.
The Timberwolves, for his or her half, allowed the league’s lowest discipline objective proportion on layups and dunks for the complete season.
— Matt Williams
How the Celtics and Pacers acquired right here
Boston has comfortably run by way of the opening two rounds of the playoffs. The Celtics dispatched the Miami Warmth in 5 video games as Jimmy Butler missed the sequence with a knee harm, and solely a historic capturing efficiency by Miami in Recreation 2 prevented a sweep.
The Celtics coughed up one other Recreation 2 loss at house to Cleveland, however Donovan Mitchell’s exit with a calf harm after Recreation 3 turned that sequence into one other five-game triumph.
Tim Legler: The Celtics must get it completed this 12 months
Tim Legler explains the quantity of stress on the Celtics to win a title this season.
Indiana, in the meantime, has reached this level with a breakneck offensive tempo led by Haliburton. However there’s a lot extra to the league’s second-rated offense. Siakam assaults relentlessly and provides the younger membership some much-needed playoff expertise on the prime of the rotation, whereas backup level guard T.J. McConnell is integral to arguably the NBA’s finest bench due to his underrated midrange jumper and his means to hound opposing gamers for 94 ft.
Pundits will inevitably level to Indiana’s first two playoff opponents and cite accidents to the Milwaukee Bucks’ Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard and the New York Knicks’ Julius Randle and OG Anunoby, amongst others. However the Pacers have sufficient younger expertise — particularly on offense — to grow to be a perennial participant within the East’s playoff image.
— Tim Bontemps and Chris Herring
Celtics (1) vs. Pacers (6)
BOS | IND | |
---|---|---|
File | 64-18 | 47-35 |
Level diff. | 11.4 (1st) | 3.1 (eighth) |
Off. score | 122.2 (1st) | 120.5 (2nd) |
Def. score | 110.6 (2nd) | 117.6 (twenty fourth) |
Internet score | 11.7 (1st) | 2.9 (tenth) |
PPG chief | Tatum (26.9) | Siakam (21.3) |
Collection odds | -1000 | +600 |
NBA title odds | -155 | +2500 |
Odds courtesy of ESPN BET |
The query now could be whether or not Indiana can defend the high-powered Celtics nicely sufficient. If the Pacers strive single protection towards Boston’s famous person wings, the Celtics might dominate the free throw battle. No crew within the league despatched opponents to the road at the next price than Indiana this season.
Doubling might show simply as dangerous. The Celtics took and hit extra 3-pointers than every other crew. Nonetheless, the Pacers surrendered fewer makes an attempt and makes than every other crew within the league in the course of the common season.
— Herring
Matchup to look at: Haliburton vs. Boston’s stingy backcourt
To have an opportunity on this sequence, Indiana will want elite offensive manufacturing from its star level guard towards arguably the league’s finest defensive backcourt in Jrue Vacation and Derrick White.
The Pacers acquired such a efficiency throughout their in-season event victory towards Boston on Dec. 4, when Haliburton had 26 factors with 5 3-pointers, 13 assists and 10 rebounds to advance to the IST semifinals in Las Vegas.
Perk tells McAfee the Pacers have an opportunity towards the Celtics
Kendrick Perkins breaks down how the Pacers may give the Celtics a aggressive Jap Convention finals sequence.
Vacation and White, nevertheless, are each lengthy and rangy sufficient to provide Haliburton loads of bother all through the sequence. Boston’s duo is coming off a Recreation 5 victory wherein it helped maintain Cleveland guards Darius Garland and Max Strus to a mixed 23 factors on 7-for-27 capturing.
Indiana’s turbocharged offense is constructed across the scoring and playmaking of Haliburton. Vacation and White current the hardest problem but.
— Bontemps
Collection wild card: The rebounding battle
If the Pacers’ protection is unfold skinny — as a result of Indiana opts to double-team or as a consequence of Boston’s means to area the ground with shooters — the query of rebounding might be important, simply because it was within the convention semifinals between New York and Indiana.
In Recreation 5 of that sequence, throughout which the Knicks began 6-1 guard Miles McBride over 6-8 ahead Treasured Achiuwa, Indiana struggled defending Brunson. When the Pacers sprinted at him, he dumped the ball to McBride, who served as a screener and launch valve on offense.
Boston can have related counters, ones which are doubtlessly extra environment friendly than New York’s. The Pacers, who struggled mightily at occasions to maintain the Knicks off the offensive glass, might need that downside towards the Celtics, too. Indiana ranked twenty sixth in defensive rebound price in the course of the common season. By halftime of that Recreation 5, the Knicks had extra offensive rebounds than the Pacers had complete rebounds.
— Herring
Stat that might outline the sequence: Factors!
The Celtics and Pacers ranked first and second in offensive effectivity this season, however the East finalists acquired there in dramatically alternative ways: Boston led the NBA in made 3-pointers, whereas Indiana led the league in paint factors.
That is the sixth playoff sequence since 1998 to function the highest crew in made 3s towards the highest crew in paint factors, and it is the primary in a convention finals or later for the reason that 2000 NBA Finals between the Pacers and Los Angeles Lakers. Prior to now 5 such conferences, the crew that led the league in paint factors gained three of them.
— Williams