The opposite half of the NBA’s convention semifinal spherical will start Tuesday evening, when the Cleveland Cavaliers will play in Boston towards the Jap Convention’s top-seeded Celtics, whereas the Dallas Mavericks will carry the Crimson River Rivalry to the hardwood once they journey to Oklahoma Metropolis to tackle the Thunder, the West’s No. 1 seed.
For Cleveland, it marks a return to the convention semifinals for the primary time since 2018 — and the primary time with out LeBron James since 1993. Boston, in the meantime, has now reached the second spherical of the playoffs seven occasions up to now eight years and is trying to make it again to the convention finals for a sixth time throughout that span.
Dallas has superior within the playoffs for a second time in three years after making it to the Western Convention finals two years in the past, whereas Oklahoma Metropolis is within the second spherical for the primary time since 2016 — when it misplaced a basic seven-game convention finals towards the 73-win Golden State Warriors.
This is a take a look at three key storylines to look at in every sequence and which ought to play a big function in figuring out who will come out on prime:
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Jarrett Allen’s well being
The largest factor to look at coming into this sequence is whether or not Cleveland’s beginning heart will be capable to play after lacking the ultimate three video games of the Cavaliers’ first-round victory over the Orlando Magic with a bruised rib.
Allen is a powerful two-way presence within the center for Cleveland, and with Evan Mobley, they create one of many league’s greatest defensive models. After they shared the ground in the course of the playoffs, the Cavaliers allowed simply 0.78 factors per direct drive, in accordance with Second Spectrum monitoring.
With Kristaps Porzingis more likely to miss the sequence for Boston on account of a calf pressure, Cleveland’s measurement generally is a actual risk within the paint — presuming Allen sees the court docket.
There have been some offensive points with Cleveland enjoying two non-shooting bigs collectively. However the extra urgent situation for the Cavaliers is that if Allen is not accessible, that may imply operating out both Tristan Thompson or Marcus Morris Sr. at heart behind Mobley. Towards the offensive firepower of the Celtics, the Cavs’ lack of depth inside might change into a major problem because the sequence progresses.
Which backcourt can management the run of play?
Whereas the main focus in Boston begins with All-Star scorers Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown, will probably be the backcourt of Derrick White and Jrue Vacation — one of many league’s elite defensive duos — that may assist decide whether or not this sequence is aggressive.
This postseason, the Celtics have a 96.6 defensive effectivity when White and Vacation each are on the court docket, per ESPN Stats & Data analysis.
They’re additionally an incredible matchup towards Cleveland’s beginning backcourt of Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland, with Vacation having the energy to tackle Mitchell and White having the dimensions and quickness to present Garland bother.
If Cleveland is to have an opportunity on this sequence, it will want Mitchell to be the perfect participant on the court docket and for Garland to be way more impactful than he was towards Orlando in Recreation 7, when he scored 12 factors on 3-for-13 capturing.
But when White and Vacation play their counterparts to a draw or win this matchup utterly, this sequence could possibly be a sweep. The primary spherical showcased the Cavaliers’ reliance on Mitchell’s scoring; that will not be any completely different going up towards the league’s highest-powered offense in Boston.
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Can Cleveland sustain with Boston’s 3-point capturing?
A technique an excessive underdog could make a sequence extra aggressive is to outshoot its opponent from the 3-point line.
The issue with taking that method towards the Celtics, although, is that they each made and tried extra 3s than some other staff (by a big quantity) this season, and so they completed second within the league in 3-point share — one tenth of a degree off the league-leading Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder.
Final summer time, Cleveland signed Georges Niang and Max Strus after not having sufficient capturing in its first-round defeat to the New York Knicks. And whereas Cleveland climbed inside the highest 10 in makes (seventh) and makes an attempt (eighth) from 3-point vary this season, they have been final in makes, third-to-last in makes an attempt and second-to-last in 3-point share (28.9%) throughout their sequence with the Magic. In the meantime, no staff made extra 3s per sport within the first spherical than Boston.
— Tim Bontemps
Luka Doncic vs. Lu Dort
Dallas superior previous the primary spherical regardless of its MVP candidate enduring a capturing droop and enjoying a lot of the sequence on a sprained proper knee. Now, Doncic has to cope with Dort, a brick wall with fast ft and one of many league’s premier on-ball defenders. Dort is recent off bullying New Orleans’ Brandon Ingram within the Thunder’s first-round sweep, however Doncic is a a lot harder problem as a uncommon elite offensive creator who can match Dort’s brute energy.
Doncic fared effectively within the two video games he performed towards the Thunder this season, averaging 34.0 factors and 13.5 assists with a 71.0 true capturing share. In response to NBA Superior Stats participant monitoring, Doncic scored 20 factors on 8-of-14 capturing when Dort was his major defender, together with 4-of-8 from 3-point vary.
Nonetheless, Doncic’s 3-point contact deserted him within the first spherical, as he made solely 23.9% of his long-range makes an attempt towards the LA Clippers. He particularly struggled after spraining his knee in the course of the first quarter of Recreation 3, going 7-of-41 on 3s within the remaining 4 video games of the sequence. The stiffness within the knee makes it tough for Doncic to create the sort of separation and elevate that he is accustomed to getting on his step-back jumper, which is the NBA scoring chief’s favourite weapon. And Doncic anticipates the knee bothering him for the remainder of the Mavs’ playoff run.
“I do not suppose it will get higher earlier than I get some relaxation,” Doncic stated after enjoying 43 minutes within the Recreation 6 win. “It is lots of minutes, so perhaps this summer time.”
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Will Josh Giddey make the Mavs pay?
The Mavs principally did not guard Giddey throughout Dallas’ blowout win on Feb. 10, the one one of many 4 conferences between the groups during which Doncic and Kyrie Irving each performed. The Mavs’ facilities have been the first defenders on Giddey, sagging far off him to clog the driving lanes and principally begging the OKC guard to fireplace away from the corners.
Giddey completed 3-of-14 from the ground — 3-of-9 from 3-point vary — and the Thunder have been outscored by 23 factors in his 23 minutes on the court docket.
“We have seen all of it yr, so it is nothing new for us,” Thunder coach Mark Daigneault stated postgame of Dallas’ defensive technique. “We need to have a variety of assaults towards it, which incorporates the slicing, contains utilizing him as a screener. Then he will shoot with confidence when he has the open pictures. It was efficient at present for a variety of causes exterior of simply [Giddey]. We have seen it loads. We have attacked it effectively up to now. We have got to continue learning from it and rising.”
That sport added gasoline to the dialogue about whether or not Giddey was a long-term match alongside Oklahoma Metropolis’s star trio of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren and Jalen Williams. It additionally elevated doubts about whether or not Giddey might play prolonged minutes within the playoffs.
Will that technique work on this sequence? Giddey shot the ball a lot better after the All-Star break (36.0 on 3s) and was 8-of-13 from behind the arc within the final two video games of the Thunder’s sweep of the Pelicans.
How a lot will the Mavs miss Maxi Kleber?
The shoulder harm that may sideline Kleber, a key reserve, for the sequence is a significant blow.
Kleber’s affect goes far past his field rating numbers (5.7 factors and a pair of.7 rebounds per sport within the first spherical). He is the Mavs’ “secret weapon for the playoffs,” one staff supply stated. He is an impressive defender — the Clippers shot solely 29.8% when Kelber was the first defender, in accordance with ESPN Stats & Data — who shot 45.8% on 3s over his previous two postseasons and gives coach Jason Kidd with lineup versatility.
The Mavs not have a pretty small-ball lineup with out Kleber, who performed heart in a lineup that might change every part defensively and play a five-out offensive model. That may have been a precious choice to mitigate Thunder rookie Chet Holmgren’s presence as a rim-protector.
Kleber was additionally an integral part to the Mavs’ supersized lineups, which might have been helpful towards an Oklahoma Metropolis squad that ranked twenty eighth within the league in rebounding share this season. That lineup performed a crucial function within the Mavs’ rout of the Clippers in a pivotal Recreation 5, when Dallas outscored LA by 17 factors in 19 minutes when Kleber was paired alongside both Daniel Gafford or Dereck Energetic II.
— Tim MacMahon